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Next Issue: 02-10-2012

Smart Gamblerīs Calculator  
Size:
122KB
Publisher:
Release Date:2004-08-29
Submit Date:2004-08-31
OS: Win 9x/ME/NT/2K/XP
Downloads:2439
Popularity:Popularity:0/10
 
USER RATING
5.00

   
 
 
 
Publisher's Description

Smart Gamblerīs Calculator allows one to calculate the main parameters for fixed-size and fixed-fraction betting.

The main input parameters are grouped into several groups. The first group contains data about the properties of a single bet: probability of winning the bet, and the payoff (prize-to-bet ratio). The second group contains parameters of the gamblerīs "comfort zone": bankroll, number of games to play (or number of bets to place), and desired profit or prize-to-win in these games/bets.

The calculator shows the expected value (profit/lose in the long run) and standard deviation (variability) of this gambling or investment opportunity.

For the fixed bet, the probabilities of reaching the goal and of losing the bankroll are calculated.

For the fixed-fraction betting strategy, the optimal fraction (percentage) of bankroll is determined.

In contrast to Kellyīs system, in which it is assumed that a player is a risk-averse person (so not a gambler) and which is applicable only to games with positive expected values, this system has none of these restrictions. The optimality is determined in the following way. First of all, the optimal fixed-fraction bet should minimize the probability of ruin. In theory, if money were "infinitely divisible," the probability of ruin in fixed-fraction betting is zero. The second objective/criterion is to maximize the probability of reaching the established goal, and the third objective/criterion is to maximize the expected value of the playerīs bankroll, subject to restrictions set by the previous criteria.

 
FreewareFiles tested Smart Gamblerīs Calculator on 2004-08-31 using leading antivirus scanners and found it 100% Clean. It does not contain any form of malware, spyware, viruses, trojans, etc. We will re-test each updated version and remove the award as well as the program if found infected.
 
 
 
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Average Rating (2 Votes )
5.00
 
 
 
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